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7122.T$2339.00+0.00%
Fair $2339.00+0.0%

7122.T

The Kinki Sharyo Co., Ltd.

Industrials / RailroadsTokyo

$2339.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2339.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $5.2B · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 35/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7122.TLocal privado en este navegador · The Kinki Sharyo Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$16.1B

P/E

19.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

↓

ROE

1.7%

↓

Gross Margin

13.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.16

↓
52-Week Range$2339
$1500$2566

TradingView lightweight chart

7122.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,339Periodo +87.1%
Fair value: $2,339

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-19.5%

FCF / Net income

-10.53x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $30.26B · net income $560.0M · FCF $-5.89B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.2%-0.0% pts

Operating margin

0.8%-3.8% pts

Net margin

1.9%-5.2% pts

FCF margin

-19.5%-50.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$30.26B$30.26B$43.15B$35.87B$39.33B
Net Income$560.0M$560.0M$4.37B$1.18B$2.77B
EBITDA$2.06B$2.06B$6.35B$2.56B$4.09B
EPS81.4881.48635.61171.97401.92
Gross Margin13.2%13.2%19.1%12.9%13.2%
Operating Margin0.8%0.8%10.0%3.4%4.6%
Net Margin1.9%1.9%10.1%3.3%7.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.160.160.150.330.64
Current Ratio1.581.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.89B$-5.89B$8.26B$5.22B$12.10B
Returns
ROE1.7%1.7%13.5%4.3%11.3%
Valuation
P/E19.4619.463.688.372.89
EV/EBITDA7.377.371.464.433.37
P/B0.480.480.500.360.33
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-29.9%-29.9%20.3%-8.8%—
EPS Growth-87.2%-87.2%269.6%-57.2%—
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

36.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$207.55

Spread vs growth

-123.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

25.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$251.13

Spread vs growth

-112.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$404.45

Spread vs growth

-104.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +57.9%

Total return

+57.9%

Start / end P/E

2.4x → 28.7x

EPS bridge

635.61 → 81.48

Residual

-971.9%

EPS growth-87.2%
Multiple rerating+1114.8%
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-971.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.