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7134.T$1187.00+0.66%
Fair $1187.00+0.0%

7134.T

UP GARAGE GROUP Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto & Truck DealershipsTokyo

$1187.00

+8.00 (+0.66%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1187.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 69/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $236.9M · quality 56.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 36/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

69/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7134.TLocal privado en este navegador · UP GARAGE GROUP Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.4B

P/E

12.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.7x

↓

ROE

17.1%

↑

Gross Margin

39.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$1187
$965$1317

TradingView lightweight chart

7134.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,223Periodo +124.8%
Fair value: $1,187

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $13.98B · net income $785.9M · FCF $-83.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.9%-1.3% pts

Operating margin

7.5%+0.9% pts

Net margin

5.6%+1.7% pts

FCF margin

-0.6%-3.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$13.98B$13.98B$12.56B$11.36B$10.53B
Net Income$785.9M$785.9M$639.4M$559.3M$412.8M
EBITDA$1.39B$1.39B$1.23B$1.07B$862.7M
EPS98.4698.4680.2870.3660.71
Gross Margin39.9%39.9%40.3%41.0%41.2%
Operating Margin7.5%7.5%7.7%7.5%6.5%
Net Margin5.6%5.6%5.1%4.9%3.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.090.150.27
Current Ratio2.692.69———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-83.8M$-83.8M$713.6M$236.9M$288.9M
Returns
ROE17.1%17.1%15.9%15.8%13.3%
Valuation
P/E12.1312.139.269.287.14
EV/EBITDA5.705.703.273.601.99
P/B2.062.061.471.470.95
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.3%11.3%10.6%7.8%—
EPS Growth22.6%22.6%14.1%15.9%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

2.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$105.33

Spread vs growth

20.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$127.45

Spread vs growth

17.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$205.25

Spread vs growth

15.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.5%

Total return

+20.5%

Start / end P/E

13.0x → 12.4x

EPS bridge

80.28 → 98.46

Residual

-1.0%

EPS growth+22.6%
Multiple rerating-4.6%
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.