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v0.1
7363.T$1151.00-2.54%
Fair $1151.00+0.0%

7363.T

baby calendar Inc.

Healthcare / Medical Care FacilitiesTokyo

$1151.00

-30.00 (-2.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1151.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-119.4M · quality 50.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7363.TLocal privado en este navegador · baby calendar Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.0B

P/E

20.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.8x

↑

ROE

2.4%

↑

Gross Margin

66.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.69

↑
52-Week Range$1151
$1121$2000

TradingView lightweight chart

7363.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,151Periodo -86.0%
Fair value: $1,151

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.6%

FCF CAGR

+29.3%

FCF margin

11.1%

FCF / Net income

9.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.53B · net income $17.2M · FCF $170.3M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

66.3%-1.4% pts

Operating margin

3.3%-9.1% pts

Net margin

1.1%-6.1% pts

FCF margin

11.1%+3.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$1.53B$1.53B$1.20B$1.08B$1.04B
Net Income$17.2M$17.2M$-100.2M$21.2M$75.0M
EBITDA$75.9M$75.9M$10.1M$74.0M$150.8M
EPS19.1319.13-111.1722.4078.91
Gross Margin66.3%66.3%64.1%72.4%67.7%
Operating Margin3.3%3.3%-2.6%3.5%12.4%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%-8.3%2.0%7.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.690.690.220.260.36
Current Ratio1.561.56———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$170.3M$170.3M$-119.4M$-119.5M$78.8M
Returns
ROE2.4%2.4%-14.2%2.6%8.6%
Valuation
P/E20.6520.65—102.5936.12
EV/EBITDA14.8214.82153.3022.5713.15
P/B1.471.472.462.703.11
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth27.0%27.0%10.9%4.0%—
EPS Growth117.2%117.2%-596.3%-71.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

74.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$102.13

Spread vs growth

42.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

45.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$123.58

Spread vs growth

72.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$199.03

Spread vs growth

90.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -28.8%

Total return

-28.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-111.17 → 19.13

Residual

-28.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-28.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.