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7442.T$439.00-2.01%
Fair $439.00+0.0%

7442.T

Nakayamafuku Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailTokyo

$439.00

-9.00 (-2.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $439.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $677.6M · quality 49.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7442.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nakayamafuku Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.5B

P/E

12.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.2x

↓

ROE

2.4%

↓

Gross Margin

19.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.20

↓
52-Week Range$439
$366$491

TradingView lightweight chart

7442.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $439.00Periodo -11.7%
Fair value: $439.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.4%

FCF / Net income

-1.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $40.95B · net income $527.0M · FCF $-556.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.1%-0.5% pts

Operating margin

0.4%-0.9% pts

Net margin

1.3%-0.0% pts

FCF margin

-1.4%-1.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$40.95B$40.95B$38.59B$39.89B$42.72B
Net Income$527.0M$527.0M$14.4M$600.6M$568.0M
EBITDA$1.34B$1.34B$631.6M$1.40B$1.35B
EPS27.2527.250.7531.0928.96
Gross Margin19.1%19.1%18.6%19.8%19.6%
Operating Margin0.4%0.4%-1.2%0.3%1.3%
Net Margin1.3%1.3%0.0%1.5%1.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.200.200.150.170.20
Current Ratio2.632.63———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-556.7M$-556.7M$954.6M$677.6M$-8.8M
Returns
ROE2.4%2.4%0.1%2.8%2.7%
Valuation
P/E12.7812.78480.0010.6111.98
EV/EBITDA4.254.256.123.164.47
P/B0.380.380.310.290.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.1%6.1%-3.2%-6.6%—
EPS Growth3533.3%3533.3%-97.6%7.4%—
Dividend Yield5.4%5.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

12.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$38.95

Spread vs growth

3520.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

11.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$47.13

Spread vs growth

3521.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$75.91

Spread vs growth

3522.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.3%

Total return

+20.3%

Start / end P/E

509.3x → 16.1x

EPS bridge

0.75 → 27.25

Residual

-3421.6%

EPS growth+3533.3%
Multiple rerating-96.8%
Dividend+5.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3421.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.