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7538.T$355.00-1.93%
Fair $355.00+0.0%

7538.T

Daisui Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Food DistributionTokyo

$355.00

-7.00 (-1.93%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $355.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-402.0M · quality 53.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7538.TLocal privado en este navegador · Daisui Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.8B

P/E

6.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.9x

↓

ROE

10.4%

↑

Gross Margin

6.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.26

↓
52-Week Range$355
$312$463

TradingView lightweight chart

7538.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $355.00Periodo -24.1%
Fair value: $355.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.3%

FCF / Net income

-1.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $99.30B · net income $1.19B · FCF $-1.34B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

6.7%-0.0% pts

Operating margin

0.7%+0.9% pts

Net margin

1.2%+1.2% pts

FCF margin

-1.3%+1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$99.30B$99.30B$98.46B$98.46B$88.79B
Net Income$1.19B$1.19B$1.01B$701.0M$-18.0M
EBITDA$976.0M$976.0M$1.19B$733.0M$194.0M
EPS87.9287.9275.0052.46-1.38
Gross Margin6.7%6.7%6.8%6.9%6.7%
Operating Margin0.7%0.7%0.8%0.4%-0.2%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%1.0%0.7%-0.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.260.260.290.500.42
Current Ratio1.761.76———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.34B$-1.34B$2.57B$-402.0M$-2.11B
Returns
ROE10.4%10.4%10.0%8.5%-0.2%
Valuation
P/E6.616.614.284.78—
EV/EBITDA4.924.922.436.2121.17
P/B0.420.420.430.410.42
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.9%0.9%0.0%10.9%—
EPS Growth17.2%17.2%43.0%3901.4%—
Dividend Yield1.9%1.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-29.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$31.50

Spread vs growth

46.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-15.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$38.12

Spread vs growth

32.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$61.39

Spread vs growth

20.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +15.0%

Total return

+15.0%

Start / end P/E

4.2x → 4.0x

EPS bridge

75.00 → 87.92

Residual

-0.6%

EPS growth+17.2%
Multiple rerating-3.6%
Dividend+1.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.