StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
7554.T$1048.00-2.15%
Fair $1048.00+0.0%

7554.T

Kourakuen Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$1048.00

-23.00 (-2.15%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1048.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $689.1M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7554.TLocal privado en este navegador · Kourakuen Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$20.0B

P/E

17.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.5x

↓

ROE

13.3%

↑

Gross Margin

55.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.30

↓
52-Week Range$1048
$1007$1249

TradingView lightweight chart

7554.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,048Periodo -3.6%
Fair value: $1,048

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

9.2%

FCF / Net income

2.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.84B · net income $799.6M · FCF $1.74B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

55.8%-16.0% pts

Operating margin

2.4%+10.5% pts

Net margin

4.2%+2.7% pts

FCF margin

9.2%+14.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.84B$18.84B$8.87B$25.46B$25.02B
Net Income$799.6M$799.6M$-504.9M$-2.86B$374.0M
EBITDA$1.69B$1.69B$584.9M$-822.8M$2.67B
EPS48.1648.166.08-189.9724.87
Gross Margin55.8%55.8%16.3%72.3%71.8%
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%-5.7%-6.6%-8.2%
Net Margin4.2%4.2%-5.7%-11.2%1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.300.302.166.531.63
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.74B$1.74B$689.1M$-412.8M$-1.28B
Returns
ROE13.3%13.3%-27.3%-330.4%10.4%
Valuation
P/E17.7017.70216.94—49.94
EV/EBITDA8.548.5439.92—8.76
P/B2.902.9011.0417.975.18
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth112.3%112.3%-65.1%1.8%—
EPS Growth692.2%692.2%103.2%-863.9%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

24.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$92.99

Spread vs growth

667.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$112.52

Spread vs growth

673.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$181.22

Spread vs growth

678.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +3.2%

Total return

+3.2%

Start / end P/E

169.4x → 21.8x

EPS bridge

6.08 → 48.16

Residual

-603.3%

EPS growth+692.2%
Multiple rerating-87.2%
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-603.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.