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7578.T$84.00-6.67%
Fair $84.00+0.0%

7578.T

Nichiryoku Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Personal ServicesTokyo

$84.00

-6.00 (-6.67%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $84.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 16/F
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $77.7M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

16/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -5.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7578.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nichiryoku Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-5.9%

↓

Gross Margin

69.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.48

↑
52-Week Range$84
$82$171

TradingView lightweight chart

7578.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $84.00Periodo -93.0%
Fair value: $84.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.3%

FCF / Net income

0.44x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.24B · net income $-271.0M · FCF $-118.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

69.6%-2.1% pts

Operating margin

-4.4%-14.2% pts

Net margin

-12.1%-16.4% pts

FCF margin

-5.3%-15.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.24B$2.24B$2.85B$3.22B$2.98B
Net Income$-271.0M$-271.0M$279.6M$118.1M$129.2M
EBITDA$-66.9M$-66.9M$382.7M$301.1M$338.1M
EPS-16.92-16.9217.537.769.31
Gross Margin69.6%69.6%69.8%68.2%71.7%
Operating Margin-4.4%-4.4%10.0%6.9%9.8%
Net Margin-12.1%-12.1%9.8%3.7%4.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.480.480.500.730.94
Current Ratio1.031.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-118.4M$-118.4M$77.7M$327.7M$311.2M
Returns
ROE-5.9%-5.9%5.8%2.6%3.0%
Valuation
P/E——17.9114.3013.00
EV/EBITDA——18.7214.3413.65
P/B0.290.291.030.370.39
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-21.4%-21.4%-11.5%8.2%—
EPS Growth-196.5%-196.5%125.9%-16.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -32.8%

Total return

-32.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

17.53 → -16.92

Residual

-32.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.