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7601.T$164.00-0.60%
Fair $164.00+0.0%

7601.T

Poplar Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresTokyo

$164.00

-1.00 (-0.60%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $164.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $241.0M · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 7601.TLocal privado en este navegador · Poplar Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.9B

P/E

20.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.5x

↓

ROE

15.3%

↑

Gross Margin

46.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.43

↓
52-Week Range$164
$161$209

TradingView lightweight chart

7601.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $165.00Periodo -83.6%
Fair value: $164.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.1%

FCF / Net income

1.79x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $11.65B · net income $134.7M · FCF $241.0M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

46.0%+5.5% pts

Operating margin

2.6%+2.2% pts

Net margin

1.2%+3.0% pts

FCF margin

2.1%+3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$11.65B$11.65B$12.03B$12.37B$13.06B
Net Income$134.7M$134.7M$376.3M$462.0M$-237.8M
EBITDA$329.3M$329.3M$539.1M$581.0M$-90.9M
EPS———30.11-20.17
Gross Margin46.0%46.0%45.3%43.7%40.5%
Operating Margin2.6%2.6%3.4%3.3%0.4%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%3.1%3.7%-1.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.430.430.681.91-2.69
Current Ratio1.041.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$241.0M$241.0M$342.0M$42.6M$-119.5M
Returns
ROE15.3%15.3%48.2%96.8%34.3%
Valuation
P/E20.0520.05—9.10—
EV/EBITDA4.454.454.065.83—
P/B2.202.203.156.77—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.1%-3.1%-2.8%-5.3%—
EPS Growth———249.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.3%

Total return

-11.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → n/d

Residual

-11.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.