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7616.T$1781.50+0.28%
Fair $1781.50+0.0%

7616.T

Colowide Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$1781.50

+5.00 (+0.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1781.50Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 3/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $18.2B · quality 60.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 88/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.10, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is 1.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7616.TLocal privado en este navegador · Colowide Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$189.4B

P/E

112.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

34.6x

↑

ROE

1.6%

↓

Gross Margin

58.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.10

↑
52-Week Range$1782
$1656$2042

TradingView lightweight chart

7616.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,782Periodo +341.9%
Fair value: $1,782

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

—

FCF / Net income

—

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $269.16B · net income $1.25B · FCF —

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

58.2%+3.2% pts

Operating margin

3.9%-0.3% pts

Net margin

0.5%-0.4% pts

FCF margin

—— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$269.16B$269.16B$241.28B$220.83B$175.63B
Net Income$1.25B$1.25B$2.90B$-6.80B$1.44B
EBITDA$8.12B$8.12B$32.12B$17.18B$27.72B
EPS7.457.4527.52-84.4511.31
Gross Margin58.2%58.2%57.8%56.2%55.1%
Operating Margin3.9%3.9%4.0%0.0%4.3%
Net Margin0.5%0.5%1.2%-3.1%0.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.102.103.453.663.19
Current Ratio0.860.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow——$16.92B$19.56B$18.09B
Returns
ROE1.6%1.6%6.5%-15.9%2.9%
Valuation
P/E112.68112.6877.25—151.11
EV/EBITDA34.6134.6110.3816.169.05
P/B2.442.444.994.002.76
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.6%11.6%9.3%25.7%—
EPS Growth-72.9%-72.9%132.6%-846.7%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

176.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$158.08

Spread vs growth

-249.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

91.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$191.27

Spread vs growth

-164.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

45.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$308.05

Spread vs growth

-118.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.1%

Total return

-2.1%

Start / end P/E

66.3x → 239.1x

EPS bridge

27.52 → 7.45

Residual

-190.2%

EPS growth-72.9%
Multiple rerating+260.8%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-190.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.