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7638.T$1324.00-1.12%
Fair $1324.00+0.0%

7638.T

NEW ART HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Luxury GoodsTokyo

$1324.00

-15.00 (-1.12%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1324.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.1B · quality 61.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 64/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 7638.TLocal privado en este navegador · NEW ART HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$22.7B

P/E

9.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.5x

↓

ROE

20.0%

↑

Gross Margin

60.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.92

↑
52-Week Range$1324
$1311$1663

TradingView lightweight chart

7638.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,324Periodo -81.7%
Fair value: $1,324

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.9%

FCF CAGR

-2.7%

FCF margin

4.3%

FCF / Net income

0.60x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $27.64B · net income $1.98B · FCF $1.19B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

60.7%-4.2% pts

Operating margin

14.1%-0.3% pts

Net margin

7.2%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

4.3%-2.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$27.64B$27.64B$21.10B$21.46B$18.72B
Net Income$1.98B$1.98B$1.09B$1.73B$1.48B
EBITDA$4.42B$4.42B$3.07B$3.37B$2.62B
EPS125.38125.3870.67110.5693.16
Gross Margin60.7%60.7%64.9%63.1%64.9%
Operating Margin14.1%14.1%13.6%15.4%14.4%
Net Margin7.2%7.2%5.1%8.0%7.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.920.920.820.730.58
Current Ratio1.651.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.19B$1.19B$343.5M$1.08B$1.29B
Returns
ROE20.0%20.0%12.5%18.7%15.6%
Valuation
P/E9.679.6723.6716.0214.64
EV/EBITDA6.516.5110.139.439.14
P/B2.112.112.973.002.29
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth31.0%31.0%-1.7%14.6%—
EPS Growth77.4%77.4%-36.1%18.7%—
Dividend Yield6.0%6.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$117.48

Spread vs growth

79.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

2.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$142.15

Spread vs growth

74.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$228.94

Spread vs growth

71.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.0%

Total return

-3.0%

Start / end P/E

20.6x → 10.6x

EPS bridge

70.67 → 125.38

Residual

-37.7%

EPS growth+77.4%
Multiple rerating-48.7%
Dividend+6.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-37.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.