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7686.T$415.00+0.24%
Fair $415.00+0.0%

7686.T

HitoMile Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Food DistributionTokyo

$415.00

+1.00 (+0.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $415.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 4/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.6B · quality 31.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 37/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.17, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7686.TLocal privado en este navegador · HitoMile Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.1B

P/E

10.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.0x

↓

ROE

12.7%

↑

Gross Margin

23.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.17

↑
52-Week Range$415
$404$517

TradingView lightweight chart

7686.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $415.00Periodo -32.2%
Fair value: $415.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.9%

FCF / Net income

4.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $134.51B · net income $536.0M · FCF $2.58B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.1%+1.8% pts

Operating margin

1.3%+5.2% pts

Net margin

0.4%+3.7% pts

FCF margin

1.9%+4.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$134.51B$134.51B$129.41B$114.96B$85.51B
Net Income$536.0M$536.0M$1.59B$609.0M$-2.81B
EBITDA$2.32B$2.32B$3.69B$1.22B$-2.13B
EPS18.3618.3654.9521.22-103.32
Gross Margin23.1%23.1%22.8%21.8%21.3%
Operating Margin1.3%1.3%2.2%0.7%-3.9%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%1.2%0.5%-3.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.172.172.093.725.10
Current Ratio0.840.84———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.58B$2.58B$2.79B$2.53B$-2.44B
Returns
ROE12.7%12.7%38.8%21.6%-121.7%
Valuation
P/E10.3910.3913.9621.19—
EV/EBITDA7.967.967.5116.91—
P/B2.872.875.424.585.99
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.9%3.9%12.6%34.4%—
EPS Growth-66.6%-66.6%159.0%120.5%—
Dividend Yield4.8%4.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

26.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$36.82

Spread vs growth

-92.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$44.56

Spread vs growth

-86.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$71.76

Spread vs growth

-81.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.2%

Total return

-8.2%

Start / end P/E

8.7x → 22.6x

EPS bridge

54.95 → 18.36

Residual

-106.8%

EPS growth-66.6%
Multiple rerating+160.4%
Dividend+4.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-106.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.