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v0.1
7687.T$405.00+0.50%
Fair $405.00+0.0%

7687.T

MICREED Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Food DistributionTokyo

$405.00

+2.00 (+0.50%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $405.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $123.0M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 55/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7687.TLocal privado en este navegador · MICREED Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.7B

P/E

9.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.1x

↓

ROE

18.5%

↑

Gross Margin

34.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$405
$401$595

TradingView lightweight chart

7687.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $405.00Periodo +80.0%
Fair value: $405.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+30.8%

FCF CAGR

+60.1%

FCF margin

1.8%

FCF / Net income

0.48x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.78B · net income $258.0M · FCF $123.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.3%+0.7% pts

Operating margin

5.5%+7.4% pts

Net margin

3.8%+5.0% pts

FCF margin

1.8%+0.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.78B$6.78B$5.94B$4.67B$3.03B
Net Income$258.0M$258.0M$222.0M$134.0M$-37.0M
EBITDA$431.0M$431.0M$394.0M$268.0M$5.0M
EPS39.0139.0133.6420.42-5.79
Gross Margin34.3%34.3%34.4%34.0%33.6%
Operating Margin5.5%5.5%5.4%4.2%-1.9%
Net Margin3.8%3.8%3.7%2.9%-1.2%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio2.232.23———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$123.0M$123.0M$312.0M$109.0M$30.0M
Returns
ROE18.5%18.5%18.8%13.4%-4.3%
Valuation
P/E9.219.2115.8715.98—
EV/EBITDA4.084.086.815.75254.76
P/B1.931.932.992.142.05
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.2%14.2%27.2%54.1%—
EPS Growth16.0%16.0%64.7%452.7%—
Dividend Yield2.3%2.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$35.94

Spread vs growth

18.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

2.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$43.48

Spread vs growth

13.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$70.03

Spread vs growth

9.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.5%

Total return

-11.5%

Start / end P/E

14.0x → 10.4x

EPS bridge

33.64 → 39.01

Residual

-4.1%

EPS growth+16.0%
Multiple rerating-25.7%
Dividend+2.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.