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7698.T$2450.00-0.85%
Fair $2450.00+0.0%

7698.T

Iceco Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Food DistributionTokyo

$2450.00

-21.00 (-0.85%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2450.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $82.9M · quality 50.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7698.TLocal privado en este navegador · Iceco Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.6B

P/E

26.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.9x

↑

ROE

12.5%

↑

Gross Margin

17.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.64

↑
52-Week Range$2450
$1704$2749

TradingView lightweight chart

7698.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,450Periodo +87.0%
Fair value: $2,450

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.0%

FCF / Net income

-1.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $54.72B · net income $481.7M · FCF $-561.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.5%-0.4% pts

Operating margin

1.1%+0.3% pts

Net margin

0.9%+0.3% pts

FCF margin

-1.0%-2.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$54.72B$54.72B$50.50B$44.89B$42.26B
Net Income$481.7M$481.7M$318.9M$144.4M$255.2M
EBITDA$1.10B$1.10B$813.5M$579.8M$725.5M
EPS119.48119.4880.7436.9165.43
Gross Margin17.5%17.5%17.1%17.4%17.9%
Operating Margin1.1%1.1%0.9%0.3%0.8%
Net Margin0.9%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.640.640.820.921.10
Current Ratio0.870.87———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-561.8M$-561.8M$526.2M$82.9M$657.3M
Returns
ROE12.5%12.5%9.3%4.6%8.3%
Valuation
P/E26.5126.519.9718.8311.11
EV/EBITDA9.929.924.386.275.34
P/B2.572.570.930.860.92
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.4%8.4%12.5%6.2%—
EPS Growth48.0%48.0%118.7%-43.6%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

22.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$217.40

Spread vs growth

25.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

17.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$263.05

Spread vs growth

30.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$423.64

Spread vs growth

34.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +35.5%

Total return

+35.5%

Start / end P/E

22.5x → 20.5x

EPS bridge

80.74 → 119.48

Residual

-4.3%

EPS growth+48.0%
Multiple rerating-9.0%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.