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7715.T$3425.00+2.89%
Fair $3425.00+0.0%

7715.T

Nagano Keiki Co., Ltd.

Technology / Scientific & Technical InstrumentsTokyo

$3425.00

+95.00 (+2.89%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3425.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 66/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.5B · quality 55.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 48/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

66/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7715.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nagano Keiki Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$63.6B

P/E

12.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.1x

↓

ROE

13.8%

↑

Gross Margin

31.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.33

↑
52-Week Range$3425
$1798$3495

TradingView lightweight chart

7715.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,380Periodo +149.9%
Fair value: $3,425

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.2%

FCF CAGR

+82.2%

FCF margin

5.0%

FCF / Net income

0.58x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $69.54B · net income $6.05B · FCF $3.48B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.9%+3.4% pts

Operating margin

11.0%+4.5% pts

Net margin

8.7%+4.1% pts

FCF margin

5.0%+4.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$69.54B$69.54B$67.94B$60.54B$54.95B
Net Income$6.05B$6.05B$5.41B$3.41B$2.51B
EBITDA$11.40B$11.40B$9.43B$6.98B$5.88B
EPS316.94316.94283.56179.13132.06
Gross Margin31.9%31.9%31.4%29.1%28.5%
Operating Margin11.0%11.0%10.5%7.8%6.5%
Net Margin8.7%8.7%8.0%5.6%4.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.330.330.370.490.44
Current Ratio3.043.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.48B$3.48B$3.65B$310.3M$575.5M
Returns
ROE13.8%13.8%13.6%10.5%8.9%
Valuation
P/E11.9911.998.596.968.62
EV/EBITDA6.146.145.674.594.57
P/B1.491.491.170.730.76
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.4%2.4%12.2%10.2%—
EPS Growth11.8%11.8%58.3%35.6%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$303.91

Spread vs growth

13.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$367.73

Spread vs growth

8.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$592.24

Spread vs growth

5.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +85.2%

Total return

+85.2%

Start / end P/E

6.5x → 10.7x

EPS bridge

283.56 → 316.94

Residual

+7.5%

EPS growth+11.8%
Multiple rerating+64.1%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+7.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.