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7719.T$450.00+2.51%
Fair $450.00+0.0%

7719.T

Tokyo Koki Co. Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryTokyo

$450.00

+11.00 (+2.51%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $450.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-162.4M · quality 44.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7719.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tokyo Koki Co. Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.2B

P/E

25.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

39.9x

↑

ROE

3.9%

↓

Gross Margin

34.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.52

↑
52-Week Range$450
$225$983

TradingView lightweight chart

7719.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $450.00Periodo -23.7%
Fair value: $450.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-18.5%

FCF / Net income

-10.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.48B · net income $62.9M · FCF $-645.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.3%+2.7% pts

Operating margin

0.7%-4.2% pts

Net margin

1.8%-1.2% pts

FCF margin

-18.5%-20.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.48B$3.48B$3.37B$3.05B$4.04B
Net Income$62.9M$62.9M$91.1M$-702.4M$121.5M
EBITDA$89.2M$89.2M$252.3M$-632.7M$236.3M
EPS——12.75-98.4917.05
Gross Margin34.3%34.3%36.0%34.9%31.6%
Operating Margin0.7%0.7%3.9%3.5%4.9%
Net Margin1.8%1.8%2.7%-23.0%3.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.520.520.450.450.48
Current Ratio2.292.29———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-645.7M$-645.7M$193.7M$-162.4M$66.9M
Returns
ROE3.9%3.9%6.0%-49.6%5.7%
Valuation
P/E25.3725.3717.41—15.07
EV/EBITDA39.8639.865.12—6.82
P/B1.981.981.040.910.86
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.5%3.5%10.2%-24.4%—
EPS Growth——112.9%-677.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +86.7%

Total return

+86.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

12.75 → n/d

Residual

+86.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+86.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.