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7721.T$5790.00-2.20%
Fair $5790.00+0.0%

7721.T

TOKYO KEIKI INC.

Technology / Scientific & Technical InstrumentsTokyo

$5790.00

-130.00 (-2.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5790.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.8B · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7721.TLocal privado en este navegador · TOKYO KEIKI INC.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$95.1B

P/E

23.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

17.3x

↑

ROE

9.4%

↑

Gross Margin

27.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.48

↑
52-Week Range$5790
$3065$9540

TradingView lightweight chart

7721.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5,790Periodo +881.4%
Fair value: $5,790

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.12x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $57.65B · net income $3.80B · FCF $-455.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.5%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

8.4%+4.5% pts

Net margin

6.6%+3.0% pts

FCF margin

-0.8%-6.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$57.65B$57.65B$47.17B$44.30B$41.51B
Net Income$3.80B$3.80B$2.28B$873.0M$1.49B
EBITDA$6.20B$6.20B$4.09B$2.33B$3.11B
EPS231.11231.11138.6353.16—
Gross Margin27.5%27.5%27.6%24.8%26.5%
Operating Margin8.4%8.4%5.9%3.0%3.9%
Net Margin6.6%6.6%4.8%2.0%3.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.480.480.400.300.31
Current Ratio2.132.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-455.0M$-455.0M$-2.83B$-2.83B$2.26B
Returns
ROE9.4%9.4%6.2%2.7%4.5%
Valuation
P/E23.7523.7518.3722.76—
EV/EBITDA17.2517.2511.939.075.38
P/B2.352.351.140.600.57
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth22.2%22.2%6.5%6.7%—
EPS Growth66.7%66.7%160.8%——
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

30.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$513.77

Spread vs growth

36.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

21.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$621.66

Spread vs growth

44.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1001.18

Spread vs growth

50.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +88.2%

Total return

+88.2%

Start / end P/E

22.3x → 25.1x

EPS bridge

138.63 → 231.11

Residual

+8.3%

EPS growth+66.7%
Multiple rerating+12.4%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+8.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.