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7771.T$322.00-0.92%
Fair $322.00+0.0%

7771.T

Nihon Seimitsu Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Luxury GoodsTokyo

$322.00

-3.00 (-0.92%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $322.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 4/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $200.8M · quality 30.3/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.00, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -1.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7771.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nihon Seimitsu Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.7B

P/E

20.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

32.8x

↑

ROE

-1.4%

↓

Gross Margin

21.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.00

↑
52-Week Range$322
$82$940

TradingView lightweight chart

7771.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $322.00Periodo +26.3%
Fair value: $322.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.9%

FCF / Net income

-6.95x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.16B · net income $-20.0M · FCF $139.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.0%-0.6% pts

Operating margin

3.9%+2.4% pts

Net margin

-0.3%+2.0% pts

FCF margin

1.9%+5.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.16B$7.16B$6.73B$6.90B$5.74B
Net Income$-20.0M$-20.0M$390.8M$175.6M$-128.2M
EBITDA$279.6M$279.6M$710.1M$482.0M$138.7M
EPS-0.91-0.9117.747.97-5.82
Gross Margin21.0%21.0%21.2%20.9%21.6%
Operating Margin3.9%3.9%3.8%2.6%1.4%
Net Margin-0.3%-0.3%5.8%2.5%-2.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.002.002.112.522.77
Current Ratio1.051.05———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$139.2M$139.2M$415.5M$200.8M$-213.8M
Returns
ROE-1.4%-1.4%26.6%13.9%-10.9%
Valuation
P/E20.3420.344.1111.67—
EV/EBITDA32.7532.755.279.5930.31
P/B4.834.831.091.621.22
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.4%6.4%-2.5%20.2%—
EPS Growth-105.1%-105.1%122.6%236.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +257.8%

Total return

+257.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

17.74 → -0.91

Residual

+257.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+257.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.