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7800.T$910.00-2.26%
Fair $910.00+0.0%

7800.T

Amifa Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersTokyo

$910.00

-21.00 (-2.26%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $910.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $397.7M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7800.TLocal privado en este navegador · Amifa Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.9B

P/E

5.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.3x

↓

ROE

9.1%

↑

Gross Margin

32.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.23

↓
52-Week Range$910
$576$1745

TradingView lightweight chart

7800.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $910.00Periodo +8.5%
Fair value: $910.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.7%

FCF / Net income

2.57x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.84B · net income $194.5M · FCF $500.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.5%-7.7% pts

Operating margin

3.1%-1.9% pts

Net margin

2.2%-1.6% pts

FCF margin

5.7%+9.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.84B$8.84B$8.60B$8.13B$5.92B
Net Income$194.5M$194.5M$-283.9M$147.4M$222.1M
EBITDA$288.3M$288.3M$-243.3M$240.8M$290.4M
EPS——-94.2046.8968.65
Gross Margin32.5%32.5%28.4%33.2%40.2%
Operating Margin3.1%3.1%-3.5%2.2%5.0%
Net Margin2.2%2.2%-3.3%1.8%3.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.230.230.420.540.01
Current Ratio3.593.59———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$500.1M$500.1M$397.7M$-1.07B$-249.7M
Returns
ROE9.1%9.1%-15.1%6.2%9.0%
Valuation
P/E5.725.72—13.938.83
EV/EBITDA8.348.34—10.293.72
P/B1.281.280.940.860.79
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.8%2.8%5.8%37.4%—
EPS Growth——-300.9%-31.7%—
Dividend Yield6.4%6.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +54.2%

Total return

+54.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-94.20 → n/d

Residual

+47.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+6.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+47.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.