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7816.TWO$66.30-1.63%
Fair $66.30+0.0%

7816.TWO

7816.TWO

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsTaipei Exchange

$66.30

-1.10 (-1.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $66.30Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $102.2M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7816.TWOLocal privado en este navegador · 7816.TWO
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.9B

P/E

17.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.0x

↑

ROE

12.3%

↑

Gross Margin

13.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.72

↑
52-Week Range$66
$52$112

TradingView lightweight chart

7816.TWO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $66.30Periodo -32.8%
Fair value: $66.30

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.5%

FCF / Net income

0.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.93B · net income $112.0M · FCF $102.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.4%+0.5% pts

Operating margin

5.4%+1.1% pts

Net margin

3.8%+2.4% pts

FCF margin

3.5%+11.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.93B$2.93B$1.70B$1.91B$1.73B
Net Income$112.0M$112.0M$68.3M$16.6M$23.8M
EBITDA$219.6M$219.6M$161.3M$132.3M$88.6M
EPS——2.762.601.50
Gross Margin13.4%13.4%17.9%14.4%12.9%
Operating Margin5.4%5.4%4.6%4.2%4.3%
Net Margin3.8%3.8%4.0%0.9%1.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.720.720.920.170.59
Current Ratio1.661.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$102.2M$102.2M$-576.2M$220.9M$-129.5M
Returns
ROE12.3%12.3%8.6%3.9%4.4%
Valuation
P/E17.3617.36———
EV/EBITDA10.0410.04———
P/B2.142.14———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth72.1%72.1%-10.8%10.5%—
EPS Growth——6.2%73.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -36.9%

Total return

-36.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

2.76 → n/d

Residual

-36.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-36.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.