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7820.T$705.00-1.81%
Fair $705.00+0.0%

7820.T

Nihon Flush Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Building Products & EquipmentTokyo

$705.00

-13.00 (-1.81%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $705.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 26/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.0B · quality 74.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 64/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

26/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -9.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7820.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nihon Flush Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$16.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-9.2%

↓

Gross Margin

23.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$705
$705$870

TradingView lightweight chart

7820.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $705.00Periodo +312.9%
Fair value: $705.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.2%

FCF CAGR

+25.1%

FCF margin

8.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.71x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $23.98B · net income $-2.79B · FCF $1.97B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.8%-4.6% pts

Operating margin

23.4%+8.7% pts

Net margin

-11.6%-23.3% pts

FCF margin

8.2%+5.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$23.98B$23.98B$25.90B$27.33B$33.09B
Net Income$-2.79B$-2.79B$1.33B$1.88B$3.84B
EBITDA$-1.76B$-1.76B$2.47B$3.36B$5.99B
EPS-122.71-122.7156.0475.12153.31
Gross Margin23.8%23.8%25.0%25.7%28.4%
Operating Margin23.4%23.4%25.0%8.4%14.7%
Net Margin-11.6%-11.6%5.1%6.9%11.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.070.040.05
Current Ratio2.302.30———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.97B$1.97B$1.49B$2.05B$1.01B
Returns
ROE-9.2%-9.2%4.2%6.0%13.0%
Valuation
P/E——16.7012.746.51
EV/EBITDA——6.294.893.14
P/B0.530.530.700.760.85
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.4%-7.4%-5.2%-17.4%—
EPS Growth-319.0%-319.0%-25.4%-51.0%—
Dividend Yield5.0%5.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.6%

Total return

-8.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

56.04 → -122.71

Residual

-13.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-13.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.