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7821.TW$46.05-0.32%
Fair $46.05+0.0%

7821.TW

7821.TW

Technology / Communication EquipmentTaiwan

$46.05

-0.15 (-0.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $46.05Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $262.8M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 35/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7821.TWLocal privado en este navegador · 7821.TW
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.6B

P/E

16.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.0x

↓

ROE

15.1%

↑

Gross Margin

24.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$46
$37$77

TradingView lightweight chart

7821.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $46.05Periodo -16.4%
Fair value: $46.05

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.8%

FCF CAGR

-38.5%

FCF margin

0.6%

FCF / Net income

0.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.33B · net income $327.2M · FCF $52.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.5%+1.1% pts

Operating margin

3.7%+2.5% pts

Net margin

3.9%+2.4% pts

FCF margin

0.6%-3.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.33B$8.33B$6.98B$4.96B$6.13B
Net Income$327.2M$327.2M$171.1M$123.4M$94.7M
EBITDA$480.7M$480.7M$284.5M$218.5M$231.2M
EPS——1.601.160.89
Gross Margin24.5%24.5%25.6%29.1%23.4%
Operating Margin3.7%3.7%1.8%2.1%1.3%
Net Margin3.9%3.9%2.5%2.5%1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.050.000.11
Current Ratio1.381.38———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$52.9M$52.9M$262.8M$1.72B$227.2M
Returns
ROE15.1%15.1%8.8%7.2%5.3%
Valuation
P/E16.0516.05———
EV/EBITDA5.015.01———
P/B2.322.32———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth19.3%19.3%40.8%-19.0%—
EPS Growth——37.9%30.3%—
Dividend Yield4.3%4.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +23.3%

Total return

+23.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.60 → n/d

Residual

+19.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+19.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.