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7831.T$73.00-3.95%
Fair $73.00+0.0%

7831.T

Wellco Holdings Corporation

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesTokyo

$73.00

-3.00 (-3.95%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $73.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 6/F
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-842.0M · quality 37.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

6/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -66.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7831.TLocal privado en este navegador · Wellco Holdings Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-66.9%

↓

Gross Margin

14.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.79

↑
52-Week Range$73
$68$127

TradingView lightweight chart

7831.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $73.00Periodo -79.4%
Fair value: $73.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-9.9%

FCF / Net income

0.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.48B · net income $-948.0M · FCF $-842.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.3%-5.2% pts

Operating margin

13.7%+13.0% pts

Net margin

-11.2%-12.4% pts

FCF margin

-9.9%-14.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.48B$8.48B$8.60B$8.82B$9.03B
Net Income$-948.0M$-948.0M$-436.0M$2.0M$113.0M
EBITDA$-576.0M$-576.0M$-163.0M$189.0M$605.0M
EPS——-17.760.114.61
Gross Margin14.3%14.3%17.1%18.8%19.4%
Operating Margin13.7%13.7%17.1%0.2%0.7%
Net Margin-11.2%-11.2%-5.1%0.0%1.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.791.790.580.620.52
Current Ratio0.690.69———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-842.0M$-842.0M$-1.32B$43.0M$364.0M
Returns
ROE-66.9%-66.9%-12.2%0.0%1.9%
Valuation
P/E———1200.0029.50
EV/EBITDA———9.333.18
P/B0.800.800.830.760.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.4%-1.4%-2.5%-2.4%—
EPS Growth——-16245.5%-97.6%—
Dividend Yield2.6%2.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -38.0%

Total return

-38.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-17.76 → n/d

Residual

-40.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-40.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.