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7844.T$459.00+0.66%
Fair $459.00+0.0%

7844.T

Marvelous Inc.

Communication Services / Electronic Gaming & MultimediaTokyo

$459.00

+3.00 (+0.66%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $459.00Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 3/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.1B · quality 28.0/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7844.TLocal privado en este navegador · Marvelous Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$27.8B

P/E

13.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.7x

↓

ROE

3.1%

↓

Gross Margin

46.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$459
$444$620

TradingView lightweight chart

7844.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $459.00Periodo +3.1%
Fair value: $459.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-12.7%

FCF / Net income

-4.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $27.96B · net income $818.0M · FCF $-3.56B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

46.2%-3.6% pts

Operating margin

6.5%-11.4% pts

Net margin

2.9%-11.9% pts

FCF margin

-12.7%-19.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$27.96B$27.96B$29.49B$25.34B$25.73B
Net Income$818.0M$818.0M$-517.0M$1.93B$3.82B
EBITDA$3.48B$3.48B$800.0M$5.71B$6.53B
EPS——-8.5531.8563.23
Gross Margin46.2%46.2%40.8%45.3%49.9%
Operating Margin6.5%6.5%8.2%9.8%17.9%
Net Margin2.9%2.9%-1.8%7.6%14.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity———0.010.01
Current Ratio3.443.44———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-3.56B$-3.56B$-128.0M$-1.06B$1.75B
Returns
ROE3.1%3.1%-1.9%6.6%13.2%
Valuation
P/E13.9413.94—20.6612.02
EV/EBITDA5.725.7235.764.564.54
P/B1.061.061.511.361.59
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.2%-5.2%16.4%-1.5%—
EPS Growth——-126.8%-49.6%—
Dividend Yield3.3%3.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +5.1%

Total return

+5.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-8.55 → n/d

Residual

+1.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.