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v0.1
7850.T$846.00-1.28%
Fair $846.00+0.0%

7850.T

Sougou Shouken Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesTokyo

$846.00

-11.00 (-1.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $846.00Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $539.0M · quality 73.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 81/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7850.TLocal privado en este navegador · Sougou Shouken Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.5B

P/E

11.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.9x

↓

ROE

10.2%

↑

Gross Margin

30.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.90

↑
52-Week Range$846
$801$950

TradingView lightweight chart

7850.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $846.00Periodo +78.1%
Fair value: $846.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.0%

FCF CAGR

+9.3%

FCF margin

2.7%

FCF / Net income

1.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $16.24B · net income $319.7M · FCF $443.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.9%+3.5% pts

Operating margin

2.2%+1.4% pts

Net margin

2.0%+0.8% pts

FCF margin

2.7%+0.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$16.24B$16.24B$15.80B$15.86B$15.31B
Net Income$319.7M$319.7M$274.5M$207.5M$178.9M
EBITDA$837.9M$837.9M$893.3M$812.1M$825.1M
EPS106.57106.57—69.1759.65
Gross Margin30.9%30.9%30.0%28.3%27.5%
Operating Margin2.2%2.2%1.6%1.3%0.8%
Net Margin2.0%2.0%1.7%1.3%1.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.900.901.081.591.94
Current Ratio1.131.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$443.6M$443.6M$541.1M$539.0M$340.0M
Returns
ROE10.2%10.2%9.6%8.0%7.3%
Valuation
P/E11.6811.68—11.8412.22
EV/EBITDA4.864.864.976.446.57
P/B0.810.810.880.950.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.8%2.8%-0.4%3.6%—
EPS Growth———16.0%—
Dividend Yield2.3%2.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$75.07

Spread vs growth

13.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$90.83

Spread vs growth

5.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$146.29

Spread vs growth

-0.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +3.5%

Total return

+3.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → 106.57

Residual

+1.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.