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7856.T$1628.00-1.76%
Fair $1628.00+0.0%

7856.T

Hagihara Industries Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Textile ManufacturingTokyo

$1628.00

-29.00 (-1.76%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1628.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.1B · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7856.TLocal privado en este navegador · Hagihara Industries Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$22.9B

P/E

12.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.5x

↓

ROE

5.8%

↑

Gross Margin

26.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.15

↓
52-Week Range$1628
$1436$1855

TradingView lightweight chart

7856.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,623Periodo +310.9%
Fair value: $1,628

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

6.4%

FCF / Net income

1.14x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $31.94B · net income $1.79B · FCF $2.04B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.2%+0.2% pts

Operating margin

4.6%-0.0% pts

Net margin

5.6%+2.5% pts

FCF margin

6.4%+18.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$31.94B$31.94B$33.12B$31.25B$29.95B
Net Income$1.79B$1.79B$1.52B$3.12B$943.0M
EBITDA$4.80B$4.80B$3.98B$6.14B$2.84B
EPS———223.0965.86
Gross Margin26.2%26.2%26.8%26.6%26.0%
Operating Margin4.6%4.6%6.3%6.3%4.6%
Net Margin5.6%5.6%4.6%10.0%3.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.150.150.190.240.17
Current Ratio2.652.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.04B$2.04B$1.08B$169.5M$-3.66B
Returns
ROE5.8%5.8%5.2%11.1%3.6%
Valuation
P/E12.7812.78—7.1015.53
EV/EBITDA4.494.494.993.704.87
P/B0.740.740.690.790.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.6%-3.6%6.0%4.3%—
EPS Growth———238.7%—
Dividend Yield4.9%4.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +16.8%

Total return

+16.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → n/d

Residual

+11.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+11.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.