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7857.T$1308.00+0.31%
Fair $1308.00+0.0%

7857.T

Seki Co., Ltd.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesTokyo

$1308.00

+4.00 (+0.31%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1308.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $151.6M · quality 46.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7857.TLocal privado en este navegador · Seki Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.4B

P/E

21.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

1.6x

↓

ROE

1.8%

↓

Gross Margin

23.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1308
$1289$1400

TradingView lightweight chart

7857.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,308Periodo -23.1%
Fair value: $1,308

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $12.30B · net income $280.4M · FCF $-12.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.4%-1.0% pts

Operating margin

1.8%+0.1% pts

Net margin

2.3%-0.6% pts

FCF margin

-0.1%+5.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$12.30B$12.30B$11.99B$11.91B$11.17B
Net Income$280.4M$280.4M$365.3M$429.5M$323.9M
EBITDA$875.0M$875.0M$1.08B$1.20B$977.6M
EPS67.3267.3287.70103.1277.76
Gross Margin23.4%23.4%23.7%25.7%24.4%
Operating Margin1.8%1.8%2.2%3.7%1.7%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%3.0%3.6%2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.020.030.03
Current Ratio4.024.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-12.9M$-12.9M$151.6M$985.0M$-632.1M
Returns
ROE1.8%1.8%2.4%3.0%2.3%
Valuation
P/E21.5221.5215.2813.1121.86
EV/EBITDA1.601.601.281.273.67
P/B0.350.350.370.390.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.6%2.6%0.7%6.6%—
EPS Growth-23.2%-23.2%-15.0%32.6%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

19.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$116.06

Spread vs growth

-43.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

15.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$140.44

Spread vs growth

-39.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$226.17

Spread vs growth

-36.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.1%

Total return

-1.1%

Start / end P/E

15.4x → 19.4x

EPS bridge

87.70 → 67.32

Residual

-6.1%

EPS growth-23.2%
Multiple rerating+26.2%
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.