StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
7860.T$1182.00-1.01%
Fair $1182.00+0.0%

7860.T

Avex Inc.

Communication Services / EntertainmentTokyo

$1182.00

-12.00 (-1.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1182.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $133.0M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7860.TLocal privado en este navegador · Avex Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$50.2B

P/E

14.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.9x

↓

ROE

2.3%

↓

Gross Margin

27.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$1182
$1147$1366

TradingView lightweight chart

7860.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,182Periodo -63.7%
Fair value: $1,182

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.2%

FCF / Net income

-8.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $131.69B · net income $1.14B · FCF $-9.50B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.2%-8.6% pts

Operating margin

-1.4%-4.0% pts

Net margin

0.9%-0.1% pts

FCF margin

-7.2%+0.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$131.69B$131.69B$133.39B$121.56B$98.44B
Net Income$1.14B$1.14B$987.0M$2.74B$919.0M
EBITDA$5.37B$5.37B$4.54B$7.01B$4.41B
EPS26.1126.1121.8360.80—
Gross Margin27.2%27.2%29.5%32.1%35.8%
Operating Margin-1.4%-1.4%1.0%2.8%2.6%
Net Margin0.9%0.9%0.7%2.3%0.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio1.461.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-9.50B$-9.50B$133.0M$5.61B$-7.42B
Returns
ROE2.3%2.3%1.8%4.7%1.6%
Valuation
P/E14.1214.1256.5724.33—
EV/EBITDA2.952.951.932.653.91
P/B1.031.031.011.151.07
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.3%-1.3%9.7%23.5%—
EPS Growth19.6%19.6%-64.1%——
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

59.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$104.88

Spread vs growth

-39.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

37.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$126.91

Spread vs growth

-17.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$204.39

Spread vs growth

-3.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.3%

Total return

+2.3%

Start / end P/E

55.2x → 45.3x

EPS bridge

21.83 → 26.11

Residual

-3.5%

EPS growth+19.6%
Multiple rerating-18.0%
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.