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7863.T$919.00+0.55%
Fair $919.00+0.0%

7863.T

Hiraga Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesTokyo

$919.00

+5.00 (+0.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $919.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 5/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $216.5M · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 7863.TLocal privado en este navegador · Hiraga Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.6B

P/E

14.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.3x

↓

ROE

7.5%

↑

Gross Margin

19.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$919
$910$1302

TradingView lightweight chart

7863.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $919.00Periodo +20.3%
Fair value: $919.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.3%

FCF / Net income

0.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.79B · net income $311.9M · FCF $25.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.7%-3.8% pts

Operating margin

3.7%-2.8% pts

Net margin

3.2%-1.4% pts

FCF margin

0.3%+3.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$9.79B$9.79B$9.95B$9.01B$8.51B
Net Income$311.9M$311.9M$565.1M$395.8M$386.1M
EBITDA$740.6M$740.6M$807.0M$734.7M$762.5M
EPS108.37108.37195.92136.74133.12
Gross Margin19.7%19.7%20.9%21.3%23.5%
Operating Margin3.7%3.7%5.0%5.1%6.5%
Net Margin3.2%3.2%5.7%4.4%4.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.170.210.47
Current Ratio1.131.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$25.9M$25.9M$216.5M$333.4M$-274.6M
Returns
ROE7.5%7.5%13.7%11.7%12.6%
Valuation
P/E14.0014.004.636.787.96
EV/EBITDA1.321.321.061.492.39
P/B0.640.640.630.801.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.6%-1.6%10.5%5.9%—
EPS Growth-44.7%-44.7%43.3%2.7%—
Dividend Yield8.7%8.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$81.55

Spread vs growth

-35.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$98.67

Spread vs growth

-42.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$158.91

Spread vs growth

-48.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.5%

Total return

-2.5%

Start / end P/E

5.3x → 8.5x

EPS bridge

195.92 → 108.37

Residual

-27.0%

EPS growth-44.7%
Multiple rerating+60.5%
Dividend+8.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-27.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.