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v0.1
7865.T$376.00-1.05%
Fair $376.00+0.0%

7865.T

People Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureTokyo

$376.00

-4.00 (-1.05%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $376.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 8/F
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-173.8M · quality 39.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

8/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -3.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7865.TLocal privado en este navegador · People Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-3.6%

↓

Gross Margin

44.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$376
$369$679

TradingView lightweight chart

7865.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $376.00Periodo -73.1%
Fair value: $376.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-39.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-12.6%

FCF / Net income

3.33x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.61B · net income $-61.1M · FCF $-203.3M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

44.4%+20.0% pts

Operating margin

-10.8%-17.7% pts

Net margin

-3.8%-8.6% pts

FCF margin

-12.6%-17.3% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$1.61B$1.61B$1.92B$5.35B$7.44B
Net Income$-61.1M$-61.1M$-72.0M$312.9M$355.7M
EBITDA$-114.1M$-114.1M$-15.1M$495.6M$701.0M
EPS-15.61-15.61-16.4671.5381.31
Gross Margin44.4%44.4%47.4%30.6%24.3%
Operating Margin-10.8%-10.8%-2.6%8.0%7.0%
Net Margin-3.8%-3.8%-3.8%5.8%4.8%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio5.465.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-203.3M$-203.3M$-173.8M$755.5M$346.0M
Returns
ROE-3.6%-3.6%-3.4%13.1%15.3%
Valuation
P/E———13.6613.10
EV/EBITDA———4.944.77
P/B0.880.881.081.782.00
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.8%-15.8%-64.2%-28.1%—
EPS Growth5.2%5.2%-123.0%-12.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -28.2%

Total return

-28.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-16.46 → -15.61

Residual

-28.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-28.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.