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7874.T$884.00-2.43%
Fair $884.00+0.0%

7874.T

LEC, Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsTokyo

$884.00

-22.00 (-2.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $884.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.7B · quality 36.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 5.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7874.TLocal privado en este navegador · LEC, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$28.9B

P/E

10.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.5x

↓

ROE

5.0%

↓

Gross Margin

26.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.34

↑
52-Week Range$884
$876$1311

TradingView lightweight chart

7874.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $884.00Periodo -1.8%
Fair value: $884.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.1%

FCF / Net income

1.56x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $66.30B · net income $1.73B · FCF $2.70B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.3%-6.2% pts

Operating margin

4.1%-2.1% pts

Net margin

2.6%-1.8% pts

FCF margin

4.1%+14.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$66.30B$66.30B$60.78B$55.46B$51.42B
Net Income$1.73B$1.73B$796.0M$942.0M$2.28B
EBITDA$6.08B$6.08B$6.36B$6.80B$7.30B
EPS52.3552.3522.6626.9865.70
Gross Margin26.3%26.3%26.6%26.3%32.5%
Operating Margin4.1%4.1%2.7%1.6%6.2%
Net Margin2.6%2.6%1.3%1.7%4.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.341.341.241.190.95
Current Ratio4.114.11———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.70B$2.70B$3.16B$654.0M$-5.33B
Returns
ROE5.0%5.0%2.2%2.7%6.7%
Valuation
P/E10.0110.0149.0329.8013.36
EV/EBITDA7.507.507.916.305.71
P/B0.840.841.090.810.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.1%9.1%9.6%7.9%—
EPS Growth131.0%131.0%-16.0%-58.9%—
Dividend Yield3.1%3.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$78.44

Spread vs growth

116.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$94.91

Spread vs growth

118.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$152.86

Spread vs growth

119.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -28.3%

Total return

-28.3%

Start / end P/E

56.8x → 16.9x

EPS bridge

22.66 → 52.35

Residual

-92.1%

EPS growth+131.0%
Multiple rerating-70.3%
Dividend+3.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-92.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.