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7919.T$186.00-1.59%
Fair $186.00+0.0%

7919.T

Nozaki Insatsu Shigyo Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesTokyo

$186.00

-3.00 (-1.59%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $186.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $359.0M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 37/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7919.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nozaki Insatsu Shigyo Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

8.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.0x

↓

ROE

11.8%

↑

Gross Margin

19.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.54

↑
52-Week Range$186
$181$240

TradingView lightweight chart

7919.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $186.00Periodo -11.4%
Fair value: $186.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $14.57B · net income $522.1M · FCF $-398.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.9%+3.4% pts

Operating margin

4.7%+3.7% pts

Net margin

3.6%+3.5% pts

FCF margin

-2.7%-7.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$14.57B$14.57B$14.16B$13.44B$13.08B
Net Income$522.1M$522.1M$573.2M$253.3M$10.1M
EBITDA$1.37B$1.37B$1.30B$1.03B$770.8M
EPS31.4531.4533.6514.740.58
Gross Margin19.9%19.9%19.3%17.6%16.5%
Operating Margin4.7%4.7%4.4%2.5%1.0%
Net Margin3.6%3.6%4.0%1.9%0.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.540.540.500.540.72
Current Ratio1.061.06———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-398.7M$-398.7M$359.0M$549.3M$555.1M
Returns
ROE11.8%11.8%14.1%7.1%0.3%
Valuation
P/E8.398.394.739.29187.93
EV/EBITDA2.962.962.382.963.98
P/B0.700.700.670.660.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.9%2.9%5.4%2.7%—
EPS Growth-6.5%-6.5%128.3%2441.4%—
Dividend Yield5.3%5.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-19.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$16.50

Spread vs growth

12.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-8.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$19.97

Spread vs growth

2.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

0.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$32.16

Spread vs growth

-6.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +3.7%

Total return

+3.7%

Start / end P/E

5.6x → 5.9x

EPS bridge

33.65 → 31.45

Residual

-0.3%

EPS growth-6.5%
Multiple rerating+5.3%
Dividend+5.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.