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7928.T$603.00+0.17%
Fair $603.00+0.0%

7928.T

Asahi Kagaku Kogyo Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / Tools & AccessoriesTokyo

$603.00

+1.00 (+0.17%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $603.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 5/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $13.1M · quality 44.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 7928.TLocal privado en este navegador · Asahi Kagaku Kogyo Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.8B

P/E

25.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

1.1x

↓

ROE

0.9%

↓

Gross Margin

9.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$603
$565$644

TradingView lightweight chart

7928.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $603.00Periodo +7.1%
Fair value: $603.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.1%

FCF / Net income

-10.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.36B · net income $47.1M · FCF $-513.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.5%-2.7% pts

Operating margin

-0.5%-5.5% pts

Net margin

0.6%-3.1% pts

FCF margin

-6.1%-4.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.36B$8.36B$8.34B$8.66B$10.72B
Net Income$47.1M$47.1M$93.8M$23.0M$389.5M
EBITDA$371.9M$371.9M$413.2M$419.4M$908.6M
EPS15.0715.0729.987.35121.24
Gross Margin9.5%9.5%9.0%10.4%12.2%
Operating Margin-0.5%-0.5%0.5%2.0%4.9%
Net Margin0.6%0.6%1.1%0.3%3.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.02———
Current Ratio2.522.52———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-513.2M$-513.2M$13.1M$454.9M$-182.4M
Returns
ROE0.9%0.9%1.7%0.4%7.4%
Valuation
P/E25.2325.2319.6181.505.78
EV/EBITDA1.101.10-0.26-1.100.66
P/B0.360.360.330.360.43
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.2%0.2%-3.7%-19.2%—
EPS Growth-49.7%-49.7%307.9%-93.9%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

52.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$53.51

Spread vs growth

-102.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

33.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$64.74

Spread vs growth

-83.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

21.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$104.27

Spread vs growth

-71.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.2%

Total return

+4.2%

Start / end P/E

19.6x → 40.0x

EPS bridge

29.98 → 15.07

Residual

-51.7%

EPS growth-49.7%
Multiple rerating+104.0%
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-51.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.