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7947.T$2353.00-4.00%
Fair $2353.00+0.0%

7947.T

FP Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersTokyo

$2353.00

-98.00 (-4.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2353.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $12.6B · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7947.TLocal privado en este navegador · FP Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$190.3B

P/E

12.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.6x

↓

ROE

8.1%

↑

Gross Margin

31.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.52

↑
52-Week Range$2353
$2243$2952

TradingView lightweight chart

7947.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,353Periodo +170.5%
Fair value: $2,353

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.3%

FCF / Net income

1.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $235.63B · net income $12.49B · FCF $12.56B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.0%-1.0% pts

Operating margin

7.8%-0.3% pts

Net margin

5.3%-0.4% pts

FCF margin

5.3%+5.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$235.63B$235.63B$222.10B$211.28B$195.70B
Net Income$12.49B$12.49B$11.72B$11.53B$11.21B
EBITDA$33.23B$33.23B$32.19B$31.25B$30.16B
EPS——145.06140.87136.96
Gross Margin31.0%31.0%30.2%31.0%32.0%
Operating Margin7.8%7.8%7.4%7.9%8.1%
Net Margin5.3%5.3%5.3%5.5%5.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.520.520.640.730.61
Current Ratio1.221.22———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$12.56B$12.56B$17.38B$-8.27B$-398.0M
Returns
ROE8.1%8.1%8.1%8.3%8.5%
Valuation
P/E12.8012.8018.6322.3321.36
EV/EBITDA7.577.578.9310.799.94
P/B1.241.241.511.851.82
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.1%6.1%5.1%8.0%—
EPS Growth——3.0%2.9%—
Dividend Yield3.0%3.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.9%

Total return

-12.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

145.06 → n/d

Residual

-15.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.