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8039.T$3720.00-1.06%
Fair $3720.00+0.0%

8039.T

Tsukiji Uoichiba Company, Limited

Consumer Defensive / Food DistributionTokyo

$3720.00

-40.00 (-1.06%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3720.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-425.0M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8039.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tsukiji Uoichiba Company, Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.3B

P/E

21.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.6x

↑

ROE

4.4%

↓

Gross Margin

6.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.76

↑
52-Week Range$3720
$3360$4180

TradingView lightweight chart

8039.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,720Periodo +163.8%
Fair value: $3,720

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.1%

FCF / Net income

-2.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $62.41B · net income $287.0M · FCF $-683.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

6.7%-0.1% pts

Operating margin

0.5%+0.2% pts

Net margin

0.5%-0.0% pts

FCF margin

-1.1%-1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$62.41B$62.41B$58.70B$57.98B$55.02B
Net Income$287.0M$287.0M$204.0M$223.0M$264.0M
EBITDA$796.0M$796.0M$558.0M$642.0M$625.0M
EPS128.60128.6091.07100.18117.84
Gross Margin6.7%6.7%6.3%6.3%6.8%
Operating Margin0.5%0.5%0.1%0.3%0.3%
Net Margin0.5%0.5%0.3%0.4%0.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.760.760.700.850.89
Current Ratio1.201.20———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-683.0M$-683.0M$994.0M$-425.0M$-49.0M
Returns
ROE4.4%4.4%3.2%3.6%4.5%
Valuation
P/E21.4121.4138.6027.8121.54
EV/EBITDA15.6115.6119.6916.2415.35
P/B1.271.271.231.010.98
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.3%6.3%1.2%5.4%—
EPS Growth41.2%41.2%-9.1%-15.0%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

36.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$330.09

Spread vs growth

4.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

25.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$399.41

Spread vs growth

15.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$643.25

Spread vs growth

23.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.0%

Total return

-4.0%

Start / end P/E

43.0x → 28.9x

EPS bridge

91.07 → 128.60

Residual

-13.5%

EPS growth+41.2%
Multiple rerating-32.7%
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-13.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.