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v0.1
8049.HK$2.45-5.04%
Fair $2.45+0.0%

8049.HK

Jilin Province Huinan Changlong Bio-pharmacy Company Limited

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericHKSE

$2.45

-0.13 (-5.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.45Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $284.1M · quality 83.3/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 88/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 8049.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Jilin Province Huinan Changlong Bio-pharmacy Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.4B

P/E

6.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.2x

↓

ROE

11.8%

↑

Gross Margin

84.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

8049.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.450Periodo +78.8%
Fair value: $2.450

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.3%

FCF CAGR

+16.0%

FCF margin

33.4%

FCF / Net income

1.51x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $901.9M · net income $198.9M · FCF $300.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

84.0%+7.0% pts

Operating margin

23.8%+5.5% pts

Net margin

22.1%-0.9% pts

FCF margin

33.4%+10.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$901.9M$901.9M$881.2M$841.5M$841.6M
Net Income$198.9M$198.9M$184.3M$148.2M$193.6M
EBITDA$294.2M$294.2M$236.3M$226.4M$231.4M
EPS0.350.350.330.260.35
Gross Margin84.0%84.0%77.8%69.4%77.0%
Operating Margin23.8%23.8%20.8%19.0%18.3%
Net Margin22.1%22.1%20.9%17.6%23.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.040.050.00
Current Ratio1.301.30———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$300.8M$300.8M$208.6M$284.1M$192.7M
Returns
ROE11.8%11.8%11.3%10.0%12.0%
Valuation
P/E5.985.984.176.472.63
EV/EBITDA4.184.182.563.031.71
P/B0.810.810.470.650.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.4%2.4%4.7%-0.0%—
EPS Growth7.9%7.9%24.3%-23.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-15.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.22

Spread vs growth

23.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.26

Spread vs growth

13.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

1.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.42

Spread vs growth

6.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11.4%

Total return

+11.4%

Start / end P/E

6.7x → 6.9x

EPS bridge

0.33 → 0.35

Residual

+0.3%

EPS growth+7.9%
Multiple rerating+3.2%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.