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8115.T$1636.00+3.35%
Fair $1636.00+0.0%

8115.T

MOONBAT Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Footwear & AccessoriesTokyo

$1636.00

+53.00 (+3.35%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1636.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 67/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $835.1M · quality 60.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 51/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

67/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 8115.TLocal privado en este navegador · MOONBAT Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.4B

P/E

12.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.3x

↓

ROE

10.7%

↑

Gross Margin

42.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.44

↑
52-Week Range$1636
$983$1922

TradingView lightweight chart

8115.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,636Periodo +151.7%
Fair value: $1,636

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+17.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.8%

FCF / Net income

1.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $11.95B · net income $583.3M · FCF $695.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

42.9%+5.7% pts

Operating margin

5.9%+13.3% pts

Net margin

4.9%+10.0% pts

FCF margin

5.8%+7.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$11.95B$11.95B$10.61B$9.58B$7.46B
Net Income$583.3M$583.3M$545.3M$140.6M$-379.6M
EBITDA$909.5M$909.5M$576.9M$361.7M$-191.2M
EPS129.33129.33119.2629.98-79.52
Gross Margin42.9%42.9%41.8%38.6%37.2%
Operating Margin5.9%5.9%4.1%1.2%-7.5%
Net Margin4.9%4.9%5.1%1.5%-5.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.440.440.490.680.87
Current Ratio1.611.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$695.8M$695.8M$835.1M$1.07B$-125.4M
Returns
ROE10.7%10.7%10.8%3.1%-8.4%
Valuation
P/E12.6412.646.3818.68—
EV/EBITDA9.319.318.5313.42—
P/B1.351.350.690.580.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.6%12.6%10.7%28.5%—
EPS Growth8.4%8.4%297.8%137.7%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

3.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$145.17

Spread vs growth

4.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$175.65

Spread vs growth

2.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$282.89

Spread vs growth

0.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +69.4%

Total return

+69.4%

Start / end P/E

8.3x → 12.6x

EPS bridge

119.26 → 129.33

Residual

+4.4%

EPS growth+8.4%
Multiple rerating+52.4%
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.