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8139.T$2294.00-2.96%
Fair $2294.00+0.0%

8139.T

Nagahori Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / Luxury GoodsTokyo

$2294.00

-70.00 (-2.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2294.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-724.1M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8139.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nagahori Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$35.2B

P/E

86.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

49.3x

↑

ROE

3.1%

↓

Gross Margin

24.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.80

↑
52-Week Range$2294
$1463$2977

TradingView lightweight chart

8139.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,294Periodo +942.7%
Fair value: $2,294

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.8%

FCF / Net income

-2.69x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $22.89B · net income $406.4M · FCF $-1.09B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.8%-1.6% pts

Operating margin

3.2%+1.5% pts

Net margin

1.8%+0.8% pts

FCF margin

-4.8%-8.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$22.89B$22.89B$21.82B$17.67B$16.93B
Net Income$406.4M$406.4M$520.0M$60.8M$163.9M
EBITDA$877.7M$877.7M$980.8M$450.3M$546.5M
EPS26.5026.5033.913.9610.69
Gross Margin24.8%24.8%26.5%26.6%26.4%
Operating Margin3.2%3.2%4.7%3.1%1.7%
Net Margin1.8%1.8%2.4%0.3%1.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.800.800.780.770.78
Current Ratio1.461.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.09B$-1.09B$-724.1M$-87.1M$648.5M
Returns
ROE3.1%3.1%4.1%0.5%1.4%
Valuation
P/E86.6386.6341.70265.9155.57
EV/EBITDA49.3349.3329.2448.8527.32
P/B2.712.711.701.330.76
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.9%4.9%23.5%4.4%—
EPS Growth-21.9%-21.9%756.3%-63.0%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

97.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$203.55

Spread vs growth

-119.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

56.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$246.30

Spread vs growth

-78.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

31.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$396.67

Spread vs growth

-52.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +53.7%

Total return

+53.7%

Start / end P/E

44.2x → 86.6x

EPS bridge

33.91 → 26.50

Residual

-20.9%

EPS growth-21.9%
Multiple rerating+95.8%
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.