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8147.HK$0.74-2.63%
Fair $0.74+0.0%

8147.HK

Millennium Pacific Group Holdings Limited

Technology / Consumer ElectronicsHKSE

$0.74

-0.02 (-2.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.74Fund rank 17/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 4/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $382000.00 · quality 13.7/100

Data gap 17/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 4.33, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8147.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Millennium Pacific Group Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$153M

P/E

32.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

25.6x

↑

ROE

91.4%

↑

Gross Margin

9.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

4.33

↑
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

8147.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.740Periodo -93.0%
Fair value: $0.740

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-9.5%

FCF / Net income

-2.22x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $67.4M · net income $2.9M · FCF $-6.4M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

9.1%+4.3% pts

Operating margin

-0.3%+11.7% pts

Net margin

4.3%+31.7% pts

FCF margin

-9.5%-14.9% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$67.4M$67.4M$61.5M$65.7M$82.5M
Net Income$2.9M$2.9M$-17.3M$-18.4M$-22.6M
EBITDA$4.0M$4.0M$-15.5M$-17.1M$-18.6M
EPS0.020.02-0.17-0.18-0.22
Gross Margin9.1%9.1%6.1%5.0%4.9%
Operating Margin-0.3%-0.3%-6.3%-15.6%-11.9%
Net Margin4.3%4.3%-28.2%-28.0%-27.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity4.334.33-1.2314.031.11
Current Ratio1.161.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-6.4M$-6.4M$7.2M$382000.00$4.5M
Returns
ROE91.4%91.4%139.8%-1137.9%-108.8%
Valuation
P/E32.0332.03———
EV/EBITDA25.6225.62———
P/B29.2829.28—19.791.59
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.6%9.6%-6.4%-20.5%—
EPS Growth113.7%113.7%5.7%18.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

41.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.07

Spread vs growth

72.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

28.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.08

Spread vs growth

85.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.13

Spread vs growth

95.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +179.2%

Total return

+179.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.17 → 0.02

Residual

+179.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+179.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.