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8153.T$3515.00-1.82%
Fair $3515.00+0.0%

8153.T

Mos Food Services, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$3515.00

-65.00 (-1.82%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3515.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 27% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.6B · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 39/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 8153.TLocal privado en este navegador · Mos Food Services, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$108.5B

P/E

23.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.7x

↑

ROE

5.8%

↑

Gross Margin

47.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$3515
$3495$4430

TradingView lightweight chart

8153.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,515Periodo +291.0%
Fair value: $3,515

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.0%

FCF CAGR

-15.3%

FCF margin

4.8%

FCF / Net income

1.46x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $96.19B · net income $3.15B · FCF $4.59B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

47.2%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

5.4%+1.0% pts

Net margin

3.3%-1.1% pts

FCF margin

4.8%-4.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$96.19B$96.19B$93.06B$85.06B$78.45B
Net Income$3.15B$3.15B$2.57B$-317.0M$3.42B
EBITDA$9.17B$9.17B$9.08B$4.44B$8.77B
EPS102.10102.1083.45-10.31110.91
Gross Margin47.2%47.2%47.2%45.4%48.0%
Operating Margin5.4%5.4%4.5%0.0%4.4%
Net Margin3.3%3.3%2.8%-0.4%4.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.100.140.160.08
Current Ratio2.282.28———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.59B$4.59B$5.74B$-2.96B$7.54B
Returns
ROE5.8%5.8%5.0%-0.7%7.1%
Valuation
P/E23.6623.6640.62—26.46
EV/EBITDA9.669.669.7518.628.52
P/B2.012.012.021.971.87
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.4%3.4%9.4%8.4%—
EPS Growth22.3%22.3%909.4%-109.3%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

45.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$311.90

Spread vs growth

-22.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

29.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$377.40

Spread vs growth

-7.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$607.80

Spread vs growth

2.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.4%

Total return

-3.4%

Start / end P/E

44.0x → 34.4x

EPS bridge

83.45 → 102.10

Residual

-4.9%

EPS growth+22.3%
Multiple rerating-21.8%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.