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v0.1
8163.T$1129.00-1.54%
Fair $1129.00+0.0%

8163.T

SRS Holdings Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$1129.00

-18.00 (-1.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1129.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.4B · quality 53.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 53/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 8163.TLocal privado en este navegador · SRS Holdings Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$46.7B

P/E

30.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.9x

↑

ROE

5.6%

↑

Gross Margin

66.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.08

↑
52-Week Range$1129
$1131$1318

TradingView lightweight chart

8163.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,151Periodo +72.8%
Fair value: $1,129

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.3%

FCF CAGR

-21.5%

FCF margin

2.0%

FCF / Net income

1.48x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $67.48B · net income $925.8M · FCF $1.37B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

66.0%+1.4% pts

Operating margin

4.0%+14.8% pts

Net margin

1.4%-2.3% pts

FCF margin

2.0%-4.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$67.48B$67.48B$60.23B$54.51B$42.89B
Net Income$925.8M$925.8M$1.80B$-1.45B$1.57B
EBITDA$4.01B$4.01B$3.86B$332.2M$3.88B
EPS20.6520.6543.49-35.4041.26
Gross Margin66.0%66.0%65.5%65.1%64.6%
Operating Margin4.0%4.0%3.6%-1.1%-10.8%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%3.0%-2.7%3.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.081.080.650.830.90
Current Ratio1.601.60———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.37B$1.37B$1.51B$94.4M$2.82B
Returns
ROE5.6%5.6%11.4%-10.6%11.2%
Valuation
P/E30.6530.6525.94—19.46
EV/EBITDA13.9213.9211.55118.727.85
P/B3.073.072.962.932.17
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.0%12.0%10.5%27.1%—
EPS Growth-52.5%-52.5%222.9%-185.8%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

69.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$100.18

Spread vs growth

-121.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

42.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$121.22

Spread vs growth

-95.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

25.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$195.22

Spread vs growth

-77.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.9%

Total return

-2.9%

Start / end P/E

27.5x → 55.7x

EPS bridge

43.49 → 20.65

Residual

-53.9%

EPS growth-52.5%
Multiple rerating+102.7%
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-53.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.