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8181.T$980.00+1.24%
Fair $980.00+0.0%

8181.T

Totenko Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$980.00

+12.00 (+1.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $980.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 27% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $491.6M · quality 45.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 8181.TLocal privado en este navegador · Totenko Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.5B

P/E

4.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.2x

↓

ROE

8.4%

↑

Gross Margin

60.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.38

↓
52-Week Range$980
$848$1289

TradingView lightweight chart

8181.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $980.00Periodo -67.0%
Fair value: $980.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

10.0%

FCF / Net income

0.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.81B · net income $618.3M · FCF $480.4M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

60.0%+7.8% pts

Operating margin

10.7%+27.1% pts

Net margin

12.9%+35.2% pts

FCF margin

10.0%+16.8% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$4.81B$4.81B$4.71B$4.68B$3.70B
Net Income$618.3M$618.3M$430.1M$-134.8M$-828.4M
EBITDA$810.8M$810.8M$746.8M$111.9M$-502.2M
EPS———-52.47-322.54
Gross Margin60.0%60.0%59.8%59.6%52.2%
Operating Margin10.7%10.7%10.4%9.1%-16.4%
Net Margin12.9%12.9%9.1%-2.9%-22.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.380.380.450.510.51
Current Ratio0.540.54———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$480.4M$480.4M$618.8M$491.6M$-253.5M
Returns
ROE8.4%8.4%6.4%-2.2%-13.1%
Valuation
P/E4.074.07———
EV/EBITDA4.244.244.8637.51—
P/B0.340.340.340.360.30
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.1%2.1%0.7%26.3%—
EPS Growth———83.7%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +16.4%

Total return

+16.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → n/d

Residual

+14.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+14.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.