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8202.T$147.00-0.68%
Fair $147.00+0.0%

8202.T

Laox Holdings CO.,LTD.

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailTokyo

$147.00

-1.00 (-0.68%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $147.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.0B · quality 59.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -0.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8202.TLocal privado en este navegador · Laox Holdings CO.,LTD.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$13.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

9.4x

↑

ROE

-0.4%

↓

Gross Margin

34.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$147
$142$180

TradingView lightweight chart

8202.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $147.00Periodo -96.4%
Fair value: $147.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.8%

FCF / Net income

10.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $57.53B · net income $-99.0M · FCF $-1.01B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.3%+7.7% pts

Operating margin

0.1%+0.0% pts

Net margin

-0.2%-0.3% pts

FCF margin

-1.8%+2.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$57.53B$57.53B$61.52B$60.19B$55.13B
Net Income$-99.0M$-99.0M$670.0M$2.04B$69.0M
EBITDA$793.0M$793.0M$1.55B$2.93B$1.10B
EPS-1.09-1.097.3422.350.76
Gross Margin34.3%34.3%33.2%30.1%26.6%
Operating Margin0.1%0.1%0.2%0.5%0.1%
Net Margin-0.2%-0.2%1.1%3.4%0.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.130.120.06
Current Ratio2.212.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.01B$-1.01B$-505.0M$-1.02B$-2.33B
Returns
ROE-0.4%-0.4%2.9%9.1%0.3%
Valuation
P/E——24.669.98282.89
EV/EBITDA9.419.415.664.089.52
P/B0.590.590.720.910.97
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.5%-6.5%2.2%9.2%—
EPS Growth-114.9%-114.9%-67.2%2840.8%—
Dividend Yield2.7%2.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.4%

Total return

-5.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

7.34 → -1.09

Residual

-8.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.