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v0.1
8209.T$312.00+0.32%
Fair $312.00+0.0%

8209.T

Friendly Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$312.00

+1.00 (+0.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $312.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-79.4M · quality 76.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8209.TLocal privado en este navegador · Friendly Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$890M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

212.4%

↑

Gross Margin

76.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

-15.29

↓
52-Week Range$312
$278$506

TradingView lightweight chart

8209.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $312.00Periodo -93.1%
Fair value: $312.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.5%

FCF / Net income

1.60x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.10B · net income $-85.3M · FCF $-136.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

76.6%+3.2% pts

Operating margin

-1.9%+15.4% pts

Net margin

-4.1%+5.0% pts

FCF margin

-6.5%-0.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.10B$2.10B$2.07B$2.04B$1.75B
Net Income$-85.3M$-85.3M$-6.4M$-108.0M$-158.7M
EBITDA$-48.4M$-48.4M$21.9M$-89.0M$-126.0M
EPS-43.95-43.95-16.28-51.89-59.78
Gross Margin76.6%76.6%75.2%72.4%73.5%
Operating Margin-1.9%-1.9%-0.1%-7.7%-17.3%
Net Margin-4.1%-4.1%-0.3%-5.3%-9.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-15.29-15.2910.899.563.72
Current Ratio0.540.54———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-136.7M$-136.7M$-43.1M$-79.4M$-102.9M
Returns
ROE212.4%212.4%-13.8%-204.7%-98.7%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA——88.93——
P/B——33.1222.119.61
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.7%1.7%1.1%17.1%—
EPS Growth-170.0%-170.0%68.6%13.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.0%

Total return

-15.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-16.28 → -43.95

Residual

-15.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.