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Recent

v0.1
8223.HK$0.32-4.41%
Fair $0.32+0.0%

8223.HK

Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group Limited

Healthcare / Medical DistributionHKSE

$0.32

-0.02 (-4.41%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.32Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-36.3M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -3.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8223.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$138M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

39.4x

↑

ROE

-3.6%

↓

Gross Margin

10.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.85

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$2

TradingView lightweight chart

8223.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.325Periodo -79.3%
Fair value: $0.320

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.1%

FCF / Net income

3.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $513.8M · net income $-10.7M · FCF $-36.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.1%-17.6% pts

Operating margin

4.5%-4.8% pts

Net margin

-2.1%-7.0% pts

FCF margin

-7.1%+8.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$513.8M$513.8M$552.3M$498.0M$324.6M
Net Income$-10.7M$-10.7M$-53.0M$14.6M$15.8M
EBITDA$9.3M$9.3M$-35.0M$29.6M$38.2M
EPS——-0.120.040.04
Gross Margin10.1%10.1%10.2%15.7%27.7%
Operating Margin4.5%4.5%2.8%5.3%9.2%
Net Margin-2.1%-2.1%-9.6%2.9%4.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.850.850.700.460.80
Current Ratio1.651.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-36.3M$-36.3M$-183.9M$171.6M$-50.9M
Returns
ROE-3.6%-3.6%-17.7%4.7%5.2%
Valuation
P/E———46.7044.81
EV/EBITDA39.3739.37—24.1524.60
P/B0.470.472.122.182.31
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.0%-7.0%10.9%53.4%—
EPS Growth——-439.0%-7.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -76.3%

Total return

-76.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.12 → n/d

Residual

-76.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-76.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.