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v0.1
8226.T$422.00-5.17%
Fair $422.00+0.0%

8226.T

Rikei Corporation

Technology / Information Technology ServicesTokyo

$422.00

-23.00 (-5.17%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $422.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-968.6M · quality 52.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 8226.TLocal privado en este navegador · Rikei Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.4B

P/E

8.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.1x

↓

ROE

12.3%

↑

Gross Margin

18.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.57

↑
52-Week Range$422
$342$623

TradingView lightweight chart

8226.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $422.00Periodo +35.7%
Fair value: $422.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.73B · net income $661.3M · FCF $-366.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.9%-2.6% pts

Operating margin

6.0%+3.7% pts

Net margin

3.5%+2.2% pts

FCF margin

-2.0%-0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.73B$18.73B$12.13B$10.29B$10.86B
Net Income$661.3M$661.3M$382.8M$66.9M$139.7M
EBITDA$1.05B$1.05B$553.1M$195.6M$267.5M
EPS43.7443.7425.324.439.24
Gross Margin18.9%18.9%23.0%22.8%21.5%
Operating Margin6.0%6.0%4.7%2.1%2.3%
Net Margin3.5%3.5%3.2%0.7%1.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.570.570.540.160.08
Current Ratio1.971.97———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-366.5M$-366.5M$-1.02B$-968.6M$-141.6M
Returns
ROE12.3%12.3%8.0%1.5%3.2%
Valuation
P/E8.558.5510.3552.1430.19
EV/EBITDA6.096.096.299.936.25
P/B1.191.190.820.790.95
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth54.4%54.4%18.0%-5.3%—
EPS Growth72.7%72.7%471.6%-52.1%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$37.45

Spread vs growth

77.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$45.31

Spread vs growth

72.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$72.97

Spread vs growth

67.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.9%

Total return

+13.9%

Start / end P/E

14.8x → 9.6x

EPS bridge

25.32 → 43.74

Residual

-25.5%

EPS growth+72.7%
Multiple rerating-35.0%
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.