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8281.T$1031.00-0.29%
Fair $1031.00+0.0%

8281.T

Xebio Holdings Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailTokyo

$1031.00

-3.00 (-0.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1031.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.4B · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 0.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8281.TLocal privado en este navegador · Xebio Holdings Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$42.7B

P/E

45.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

3.5x

↓

ROE

0.8%

↓

Gross Margin

39.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$1031
$951$1215

TradingView lightweight chart

8281.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,031Periodo -17.7%
Fair value: $1,031

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.3%

FCF / Net income

3.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $250.60B · net income $971.0M · FCF $3.14B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.0%-0.0% pts

Operating margin

2.8%+0.6% pts

Net margin

0.4%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

1.3%+2.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$250.60B$250.60B$242.43B$239.29B$223.28B
Net Income$971.0M$971.0M$2.59B$5.40B$3.84B
EBITDA$9.11B$9.11B$9.72B$12.97B$10.58B
EPS22.4622.4658.31121.5886.44
Gross Margin39.0%39.0%38.3%38.4%39.0%
Operating Margin2.8%2.8%1.7%3.5%2.2%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%1.1%2.3%1.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.080.100.13
Current Ratio1.831.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.14B$3.14B$-2.86B$1.38B$-2.78B
Returns
ROE0.8%0.8%2.1%4.4%3.2%
Valuation
P/E45.9045.9017.059.0510.54
EV/EBITDA3.523.523.002.201.49
P/B0.370.370.360.400.34
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.4%3.4%1.3%7.2%—
EPS Growth-61.5%-61.5%-52.0%40.7%—
Dividend Yield3.4%3.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

59.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$91.48

Spread vs growth

-121.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

37.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$110.70

Spread vs growth

-99.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

23.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$178.28

Spread vs growth

-84.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -10.6%

Total return

-10.6%

Start / end P/E

20.5x → 45.9x

EPS bridge

58.31 → 22.46

Residual

-75.9%

EPS growth-61.5%
Multiple rerating+123.4%
Dividend+3.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-75.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.