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v0.1
8309.HK$0.07+8.82%
Fair $0.07+0.0%

8309.HK

Man Shing Global Holdings Limited

Industrials / Waste ManagementHKSE

$0.07

+0.01 (+8.82%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.07Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $51.5M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -5.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8309.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Man Shing Global Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$44M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

-0.9x

↓

ROE

-5.5%

↓

Gross Margin

9.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

8309.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.074Periodo -74.5%
Fair value: $0.074

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.2%

FCF / Net income

5.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $677.1M · net income $-7.2M · FCF $-42.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.0%-0.2% pts

Operating margin

0.3%-1.2% pts

Net margin

-1.1%-1.4% pts

FCF margin

-6.2%-5.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$677.1M$677.1M$1.02B$997.0M$664.0M
Net Income$-7.2M$-7.2M$16.1M$28.3M$2.3M
EBITDA$18.8M$18.8M$35.6M$54.3M$20.9M
EPS-0.01-0.010.030.050.00
Gross Margin9.0%9.0%8.6%9.6%9.1%
Operating Margin0.3%0.3%2.2%3.7%1.5%
Net Margin-1.1%-1.1%1.6%2.8%0.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.110.280.551.23
Current Ratio2.792.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-42.1M$-42.1M$51.5M$54.8M$-6.1M
Returns
ROE-5.5%-5.5%11.6%23.0%2.4%
Valuation
P/E——2.131.6625.79
EV/EBITDA-0.94-0.94-0.020.814.85
P/B0.340.340.250.380.62
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-33.9%-33.9%2.8%50.2%—
EPS Growth-144.8%-144.8%-43.1%1139.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.5%

Total return

+17.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.03 → -0.01

Residual

+17.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+17.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.