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v0.1
8416.HK$0.12-12.23%
Fair $0.12+0.0%

8416.HK

HM International Holdings Limited

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesHKSE

$0.12

-0.02 (-12.23%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.12Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 61/B
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $17.8M · quality 56.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

61/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 8416.HKLocal privado en este navegador · HM International Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$51M

P/E

6.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

-1.0x

↓

ROE

9.7%

↑

Gross Margin

40.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

8416.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.122Periodo -94.7%
Fair value: $0.122

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.4%

FCF CAGR

+4.6%

FCF margin

13.5%

FCF / Net income

2.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $132.3M · net income $7.8M · FCF $17.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.0%+4.0% pts

Operating margin

-1.7%-6.8% pts

Net margin

5.9%+2.2% pts

FCF margin

13.5%+5.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$132.3M$132.3M$158.9M$178.6M$190.3M
Net Income$7.8M$7.8M$-7.7M$6.3M$7.1M
EBITDA$16.1M$16.1M$2.4M$19.7M$21.8M
EPS——-0.020.020.02
Gross Margin40.0%40.0%35.8%35.1%36.0%
Operating Margin-1.7%-1.7%-4.6%1.3%5.1%
Net Margin5.9%5.9%-4.9%3.5%3.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.230.080.18
Current Ratio2.532.53———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$17.8M$17.8M$-9.9M$33.1M$15.6M
Returns
ROE9.7%9.7%-10.1%6.8%7.8%
Valuation
P/E6.106.10—5.137.25
EV/EBITDA-0.96-0.96-0.28-2.580.43
P/B0.640.640.600.350.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-16.7%-16.7%-11.0%-6.1%—
EPS Growth——-225.0%-14.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +41.9%

Total return

+41.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.02 → n/d

Residual

+41.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+41.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.