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8418.HK$0.89+9.88%
Fair $0.89+0.0%

8418.HK

Optima Automobile Group Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsHKSE

$0.89

+0.08 (+9.88%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.89Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $869000.00 · quality 67.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 53/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 1.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8418.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Optima Automobile Group Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$756M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

400.1x

↑

ROE

1.7%

↓

Gross Margin

19.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.27

↓
52-Week Range$1
$0$3

TradingView lightweight chart

8418.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.890Periodo +91.4%
Fair value: $0.890

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-15.3%

FCF CAGR

+10.3%

FCF margin

1.3%

FCF / Net income

6.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $49.4M · net income $106000.0 · FCF $654000.0

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.7%+5.3% pts

Operating margin

-0.0%+1.2% pts

Net margin

0.2%+2.0% pts

FCF margin

1.3%+0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$49.4M$49.4M$87.8M$105.1M$81.3M
Net Income$106000.00$106000.00$-1.5M$-1.3M$-1.5M
EBITDA$1.9M$1.9M$1.7M$2.8M$3.0M
EPS——-0.00-0.00-0.00
Gross Margin19.7%19.7%14.0%12.1%14.4%
Operating Margin-0.0%-0.0%-0.3%-0.3%-1.2%
Net Margin0.2%0.2%-1.7%-1.2%-1.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.270.270.711.351.21
Current Ratio1.441.44———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$654000.00$654000.00$869000.00$1.6M$487000.00
Returns
ROE1.7%1.7%-24.3%-20.4%-18.6%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA400.11400.11171.98181.57340.16
P/B118.04118.0448.3882.50126.23
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-43.7%-43.7%-16.4%29.2%—
EPS Growth——-20.0%16.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +150.7%

Total return

+150.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.00 → n/d

Residual

+150.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+150.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.