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8446.HK$0.11+0.00%
Fair $0.11+0.0%

8446.HK

Brightstar Technology Group Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Rental & Leasing ServicesHKSE

$0.11

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.11Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.8M · quality 49.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 8446.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Brightstar Technology Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$127M

P/E

3.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.3x

↓

ROE

10.7%

↑

Gross Margin

48.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

8446.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.113Periodo -80.8%
Fair value: $0.113

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+101.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

63.5%

FCF / Net income

4.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $165.4M · net income $25.9M · FCF $105.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

48.6%+105.0% pts

Operating margin

18.9%+131.6% pts

Net margin

15.7%+134.8% pts

FCF margin

63.5%+79.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$165.4M$165.4M$163.7M$95.7M$20.3M
Net Income$25.9M$25.9M$42.3M$-17.9M$-24.2M
EBITDA$77.0M$77.0M$80.8M$849316.00$-2.1M
EPS——0.05-0.02-0.03
Gross Margin48.6%48.6%46.1%27.8%-56.5%
Operating Margin18.9%18.9%27.2%-29.0%-112.7%
Net Margin15.7%15.7%25.8%-18.7%-119.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.240.380.35
Current Ratio1.991.99———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$105.0M$105.0M$3.8M$-13.9M$-3.2M
Returns
ROE10.7%10.7%22.6%-13.6%-52.2%
Valuation
P/E3.773.773.23——
EV/EBITDA1.341.342.021053.39—
P/B0.520.520.736.5242.36
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.1%1.1%71.1%370.2%—
EPS Growth——317.2%27.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.4%

Total return

-12.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.05 → n/d

Residual

-12.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.